coldstart: Calibrating Generated Items Before Pretesting with Predicted
Priors
Predicts Rasch item difficulty from item features (text
embeddings from any model, template family, content metadata) by ridge
regression (Hoerl and Kennard, 1970, <doi:10.1080/00401706.1970.10488634>)
with honest out-of-sample uncertainty, uses the predictions as robust
informative priors to calibrate new items from small pretest samples,
in the spirit of using collateral information in calibration (Mislevy,
Sheehan and Wingersky, 1993, <doi:10.1111/j.1745-3984.1993.tb00422.x>),
plans the pretest sample size needed for a target precision, and
diagnoses item families whose predictions cannot be trusted.
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